Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.020559 0.022220 0.023952 0.025894 0.028012 0.030253 0.032805
2025-10-05 0.017747 0.020118 0.022722 0.025801 0.029348 0.033316 0.038101
2025-10-12 0.016025 0.018821 0.022014 0.025944 0.030664 0.036172 0.043117
2025-10-19 0.014715 0.017783 0.021400 0.025998 0.031714 0.038623 0.047660
2025-10-26 0.013637 0.016885 0.020819 0.025961 0.032546 0.040751 0.051836
2025-11-02 0.012748 0.016126 0.020315 0.025929 0.033310 0.042763 0.055911
2025-11-09 0.011810 0.015225 0.019548 0.025471 0.033444 0.043910 0.058852
2025-11-16 0.010993 0.014417 0.018836 0.025012 0.033510 0.044918 0.061608
2025-11-23 0.010413 0.013879 0.018435 0.024926 0.034043 0.046551 0.065285
2025-11-30 0.009853 0.013331 0.017980 0.024723 0.034378 0.047896 0.068595
2025-12-07 0.009372 0.012861 0.017598 0.024586 0.034779 0.049329 0.072085
2025-12-14 0.008911 0.012391 0.017188 0.024377 0.035046 0.050561 0.075317
2025-12-21 0.008527 0.012028 0.016930 0.024405 0.035708 0.052476 0.079827
2025-12-28 0.008127 0.011622 0.016591 0.024296 0.036161 0.054109 0.084020
2026-01-04 0.007827 0.011345 0.016423 0.024426 0.036974 0.056326 0.089276
2026-01-11 0.007530 0.011053 0.016214 0.024476 0.037655 0.058358 0.094346
2026-01-18 0.007233 0.010747 0.015964 0.024441 0.038188 0.060172 0.099150
2026-01-25 0.006959 0.010461 0.015728 0.024411 0.038718 0.061994 0.104072
2026-02-01 0.006609 0.010039 0.015262 0.023982 0.038563 0.062661 0.107007
2026-02-08 0.006283 0.009640 0.014810 0.023553 0.038376 0.063253 0.109827
2026-02-15 0.006056 0.009388 0.014580 0.023473 0.038769 0.064847 0.114547
2026-02-22 0.005819 0.009110 0.014294 0.023282 0.038957 0.066086 0.118680
2026-03-01 0.005610 0.008867 0.014053 0.023155 0.039243 0.067502 0.123228